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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wirtschaft
  3. Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

WirtschaftOne-Off7Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 8%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

694,5 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.2% / 10.5%

Spread

69.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+0.3%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

13. Nov. 25, 21:2729. Jan. 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes8%

Regeln

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
  • The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
  • Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
  • Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,811.68+1.88%EthereumETH$1,657.73+1.24%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.51%

Verwandte Märkte

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3306 €
Ja: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Ja: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.2%: 32%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,2 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €
Ja: 47.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.28%XRPXRP$1.12+0.38%BNBBNB$601.25+2.40%CardanoADA$0.1674+3.74%HyperliquidHYPE$55.71+0.04%LitecoinLTC$42.65+0.31%

Regeln

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
  • The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
  • Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
  • Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.