Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
FedOne-OffWirtschaftInflation3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 96.3%
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11
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet4. Mai 23, 02:06 UTC1. Jan. 27, 02:59 UTC
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FutuurRegeln
Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19
- [image]This market will resolve to YES if this measure of Inflation- Unemployment Rate, as measured in the Fred is below -4% the next time the Federal Reserve cuts the baseline rates.
- I may bet on this market
- May 3, 11:08pm: Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below 4%? → Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Offene Märkte
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.525,8 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 997.035,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 41.181,8 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%? entschieden?
- Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19