Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.6%
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet26. Feb. 24, 18:54 UTC1. Jan. 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsAny American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Market inspired by various tweets calling for this to happen.
- Curious what odds Manifold puts on it (presumably low).
- I assume it will be relatively obvious if this happens or not, will defer to opinion of traders in case of high ambiguity.
