Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.6%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet3. Juli 26, 17:18 UTC3. Juli 27, 17:15 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBelarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
https://archive.is/BkISd
- Resolves YES if any of the following occur:
- Russian or Belarussian soldiers cross into Polish territory without explicit Polish permission
- Critical Polish infrastructure is targeted in a kinetic attack with Russian or Belarussian missiles or drones
- A "simulated air strike" from Russia or Belarus in which Poland activates its air defenses
- Resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.