Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussia / Ukraine1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 61.2%
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Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet10. Jan. 26, 22:39 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Russian Federation has de facto control of at least 85.00% of the area comprising the Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporozhye and Kherson oblasts at the close date.
- This market will resolve NO if the Russian Federation has de facto control of less than 85.00% of the area comprising the Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporozhye and Kherson oblasts at the close date.
- Resolution sources
- Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict reach a formal conclusion by the close date, the resolution of this market will be informed by a consensus of media reports, if one exists.
- If the conflict is ongoing at the close date, or the extent of Russia’s territorial control is uncertain, the market will resolve according to estimates obtained from the following sources:
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 61% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026? entschieden?
- Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria