Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76.7%
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Verzogert4. Dez. 25, 01:23 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myanmar_civil_war_(2021–present)
- This market resolves YES if Myanmar's military junta (the State Administration Council/SAC led by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing) is overthrown or ceases to hold effective control of the country before January 1, 2030.
- Overthrow includes scenarios where the junta is forced from power through military defeat, internal collapse, or negotiated transition.
- The junta must lose control of the capital (Naypyidaw) and be unable to exercise governmental authority over any of Myanmar's major population centers.
- Resolution will be determined by credible international news sources and statements from the National Unity Government or successor authorities.
- This market resolves NO if the junta remains in power through January 1, 2030.