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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. US Politics
  3. First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?
Manifold Markets

First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?

One-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East13J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Mojtaba Khomeini 42.6%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker

135

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

13. März 26, 8:0913. März 40, 8:02

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Mojtaba Khomeini43%

Regeln

Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power?

Manifold Markets
  • Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death.
  • In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.

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Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

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Manifold Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner

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Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

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Manifold Markets

In which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?

233,9 €
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Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

202,6 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,601.90+2.24%EthereumETH$1,648.47+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.51%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.63%XRPXRP$1.12+0.15%BNBBNB$594.96+1.59%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power?

Manifold Markets
  • Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death.
  • In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.