Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 41 Minuten
12. Juli 23, 17:10 UTC31. Dez. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?
Manifold MarketsWill @levifinkelstein cause human extinction by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Inflection.ai cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
@Mira is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @Mira 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if any of:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.
