Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.2%
Prognostiker
35
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juli 23, 11:21 UTC9. Juli 28, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Inflection.ai cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWhen (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Google DeepMind is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?