Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 89.3%
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Veraltet14. Nov. 23, 20:21 UTC1. Jan. 35, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US-Russia proxy conflict expand beyond Ukraine and the Middle East by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Inspired by this article:
- https://en.majalla.com/node/302971/business-economy/lebanons-already-struggling-economy-cannot-survive-war-israel
- Resolves NO if, by the end of the current conflict, Lebanon either ceases to exist as a country, undergoes a significant revolution, or otherwise becomes unrecognizable in policy/government to its predecessor.
- For example:
- If Lebanon breaks into multiple different countries, this question resolves depending on whether Lebanon still exists as one of these countries.
- If a coup occurs, but the country doesn't change much as a result, this question resolves YES.