Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet30. Jan. 24, 21:55 UTC2. Jan. 30, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland become independent in 2026?
FutuurWill Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill West Papua be independent by 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030.
- Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.
- "Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments".
- If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.
- Greenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 81% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030? soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030.