FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%
Nein 92%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
688,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWho will control the House?
KalshiRegeln
This event predicts whether Greenland will become an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, independence means Greenland formally ceasing to be part of the Kingdom of Denmark and being recognized by its own authorities as a sovereign state.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official declarations or legally binding acts by Greenlandic and Danish authorities confirming independence.
- If Greenland formally declares and implements independence from Denmark during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Referendums or negotiations alone, without formal independence taking effect, will not count.
