Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:28 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 78.7%
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7
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet13. März 24, 13:20 UTC20. März 30, 15:59 UTC
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Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear.
- We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.
- Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier
- Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will not bet on this market
- If China is simultaneously working on both nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, the market resolves based on whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned
