Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet3. März 24, 15:57 UTC31. Dez. 27, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.
- If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.