Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
GeopolitikOne-OffNaher OstenKriminalität & Justiz4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.4%
Prognostiker
110
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet20. Mai 24, 17:59 UTC16. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩⚖️🏛️
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
Manifold MarketsBen Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiNetanyahu arrested by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.
- Will Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or tried for war crimes or crimes against humanity?
- It will not be sufficient for this market if an arrest is made by someone without the power to enforce the arrest or detain him (eg. an activist accosts him and says that they’re making an arrest but his security staff get him away from the activist) or for him to be tried in absentia by a court who cannot enforce any ruling.
- If Netanyahu dies without ever having been arrested, detained or tried for these crimes, the market will resolve to NO.
- I don’t think that this resolution will be subjective, but just in case some edge case happens and it is subjective, I won’t be trading on this market.
- Related market: