KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Nov 1, 2026 12%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
180,8 €
Liquidität
15.409,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
10. März 26, 14:001. Nov. 26, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Nov 1, 202612%
Plattformen vergleichen· Before Nov 1, 2026
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 7% | — | 251,2 € | 10.946,5 € | vor 4 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 12% | — | 180,8 € | 15.409,1 € | vor 24 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by which date?
0.5%5Mon
+0.5%7%
-0.6%0%
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen419.609,5 €
24h-Volumen251,2 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2063. Juli13T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,1 Mio. €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
950.642,8 €Ja: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
724.780,7 €August 31: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
254.398,2 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
107.569,9 €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36.512,6 €Above 50: 31%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.