Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66.4%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 08:35 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketDaejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
One of Australia's most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was recently arrested and charged with five counts of the war crime of murder during his deployment in Afghanistan.
- His trial is yet to be scheduled.
- Resolves YES if Ben Roberts-Smith in found guilty of at least one count of war crime - murder at any time before January 1st, 2028, AEST.
- The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? entschieden?
- Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: One of Australia's most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was recently arrested and charged with five counts of the war crime of murder during his deployment in Afghanistan.