PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%+7.0pt
Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
197,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 9.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
-56.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
22. Apr. 26, 22:23 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsComey found guilty by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
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FutuurMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketDaejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt.
- Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für SPLC found guilty in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird SPLC found guilty in 2026? entschieden?
- SPLC found guilty in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird SPLC found guilty in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).