Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 84%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet17. März 23, 19:17 UTC1. Jan. 28, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
The detonation must include a nuclear component.
- The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-7.0pt73%
- September 18-7.0pt68%
- September 11-11.5pt59%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 413.209,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.6pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80%
- Yes-4.5pt20%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 263.969,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt49.6%
- October 31+0.5pt29.1%
- September 30+1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,7 Mio. €
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027? entschieden?
- Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The detonation must include a nuclear component.