Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.6%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Nov. 23, 22:25 UTC15. Jan. 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if any nuclear weapon with a yield of at least 0.05 kilotons of TNT is detonated between January 1st 2030 and December 31st 2030.
- Includes offensive use, tests and accidental detonations.
- Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Plumbbob_Boltzmann_001.jpg