Werden mehr als 5.000 Bewohner des Gazastreifens infolge des aktuellen Konflikts verhungern?
GeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet19. März 24, 14:07 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill over 1000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
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PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.
- For a bigger range:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Panfilo/how-many-gazans-will-starve-to-deat)Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the ceasefire extends past a month and the current conflict appears to have ended, the market will be closed to trading but will not resolve immediately.
- Resolution will be delayed until malnutrition death totals have been updated to the standards of sources like CNN and Wikipedia.
- Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has divested from this market and will remain neutral regarding when to stop counting deaths if the situation becomes ambiguous.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Werden mehr als 5.000 Bewohner des Gazastreifens infolge des aktuellen Konflikts verhungern??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Werden mehr als 5.000 Bewohner des Gazastreifens infolge des aktuellen Konflikts verhungern? entschieden?
- Werden mehr als 5.000 Bewohner des Gazastreifens infolge des aktuellen Konflikts verhungern? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Werden mehr als 5.000 Bewohner des Gazastreifens infolge des aktuellen Konflikts verhungern? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.