What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseThe ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities 71.5%Führend unter 14 Optionen
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76
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet8. Jan. 26, 02:17 UTC10. Jan. 28, 02:16 UTC
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Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "the named outcome" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
- The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years??
- Manifold Markets bewertet The ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities mit 72% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? entschieden?
- What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? soll am 10. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.