Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Mox Opal 9.7%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet17. Dez. 24, 00:00 UTC17. Dez. 26, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump Class Battleship be built or will the US Navy determine it is wasteful and unnecessary for modern warfare
Manifold MarketsWill any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.
- These cards were formerly quite powerful, but there has been a lot of "power creep" in the format.
- Many are saying that the named outcome won't even be played, for example — but the named outcome wasn't expected to be unbanned, and could still be broken.
- SaffronOlive asks on Twitter what odds people think of a reban, and gives these:
- [image]Resolves based on official Wizards of the Coast ban announcements.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 512.631,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.473,7 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 170.430,2 €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Mox Opal mit 10% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? entschieden?
- Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? soll am 17. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which cards will be re-banned in Modern within two years (before Dec. 16, 2026)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.