Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2050 71.2%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 26, 07:09 UTC31. Dez. 50, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves based on the date when Wikipedia says the Islamic republic of Iran ends.
- May also resolve if there are substantial internal reforms that do not end the government but transform it substantially away from its current form.
- There must be an entry in the "Formation" section of Iran's Wikipedia page for this to count:
