KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Opposition bloc · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Opposition bloc 53%
Opposition bloc 53%Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
79,6 €
Open Interest
357,8 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Opposition blocSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
7. Okt. 26, 23:30 UTC27. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Opposition bloc
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?
KalshiIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PolymarketWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketIsraeli Knesset election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Central Elections Committee
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. The two blocs are ranked against each other. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. If both blocs win the same number of seats, both markets resolve to Yes at $0.50.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Opposition bloc
- If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Netanyahu bloc
- If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.