KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 4,800,000 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 4,800,000 97.5%Führend unter 12 Optionen
At least 4,800,000 97.5%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
177,9 €
Open Interest
6304,6 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 4,800,000Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
5. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC27. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 4,800,000
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsAt least two parties not in current government of Israel in government formed after Knesset election?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
If at least 5,300,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Central Elections Committee for the Knesset
- The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Registered voters and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled before voting is fully conducted, all contracts resolve to No.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 4,800,000
- If at least 4,800,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4,900,000
- If at least 4,900,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,000,000
- If at least 5,000,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,100,000
- If at least 5,100,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,200,000
- If at least 5,200,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,250,000
- If at least 5,250,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,300,000
- If at least 5,300,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,400,000
- If at least 5,400,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,500,000
- If at least 5,500,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,600,000
- If at least 5,600,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,700,000
- If at least 5,700,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5,800,000
- If at least 5,800,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.