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US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Strike on Mexico by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS strike on Mexico by which date?
PolymarketWill the US strike Mexico by ?
FutuurWill the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a fully autonomous military drone cost less than $1000 by 2028?
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This question asks if there will be a drone strike carried out by the US Military on Mexican soil before the end of 2026.
- Must be publicly reported on before the close date to count.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Joint US/Mexican operations: Whether a joint operation counts depends on the level of US involvement, particularly the nationality of the drone operator/launcher (whoever "pushed the button").
- US arms sales/loans to Mexico or US intel provided to Mexico for independent Mexican strikes would not count.
- Mexican-flagged vessels: Strikes on Mexico-flagged vessels do not count as strikes on "Mexican soil" - the term "soil" refers to land only.