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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. US Politics
  3. US strike on Mexico by...?
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

1.5% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitikLatin America6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31 11%+1.5%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

2877,5 €

Liquidität

24.549 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

10.0% / 12.0%

Spread

20.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+1.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

4. Jan. 26, 19:5831. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
January 31
January 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

December 3111%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
  • A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.

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US x Cuba economic deal by...?

777 €
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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

0 €
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0,9 €
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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
  • A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.