Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet24. Dez. 25, 20:51 UTC25. Dez. 26, 20:50 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PolymarketSusie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsTrump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves Yes if Morgan McSweeney is sanctioned by the USA government.
- This includes not being able to travel to USA.
- Doesn’t matter if Morgan is serving as Chief of staff when sanctions occur.
- Resolves no if no sanctions by end of 2026.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 419.743,6 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.1pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISanchez Izquierdo vs Rodriguez Taverna
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo70.3%
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 290.849,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 241.803,6 €
POLYMARKETSeville: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno
- Completed Match100%
- Bueno Set 1 Winner100%
- Bueno Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 171.771,1 €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt86%
- Yes+1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 757.972,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.331,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.5pt77.7%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.3pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Seville: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? entschieden?
- US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? soll am 25. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves Yes if Morgan McSweeney is sanctioned by the USA government.