Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
24. Dez. 25, 20:51 UTC25. Dez. 26, 20:50 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PolymarketSusie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill a super-injunction relating to Sir Keir Starmer be revealed in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if Morgan McSweeney is sanctioned by the USA government.
- This includes not being able to travel to USA.
- Doesn’t matter if Morgan is serving as Chief of staff when sanctions occur.
- Resolves no if no sanctions by end of 2026.