Will a super-injunction relating to Sir Keir Starmer be revealed in 2026?
One-OffEuropaRegulierung2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 24.10.2026, 09:16 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet29. Apr. 26, 06:14 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWill Sir Keir Starmer say “bitter lesson” in relation to AI in a public speech before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK propose extending the BBC licence fee to online video in 2026?
KalshiWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiRegeln
X abounds with rumours of a super-injunction taken out by or for Keir Starmer relating to some unknown unwanted behaviour.
- This question will resolve yes if any of the following occurs before 1st January 2027:
- A UK judge refuses to continue any super-injunction that is reported to directly (in my judgement) relate to Sir Keir Starmer.
- Any UK MP uses parliamentary privilege to reveal the existence of a super-injunction that relates directly (in my judgement) to Sir Keir Starmer.
- Anyone is held in contempt of court for breaching a super-injunction that relates directly (in my judgement) to Sir Keir Starmer.
- A story about Sir Keir Starmer is widely published outside the UK in major international media outlets, but not covered in the national press, to the degree that it is unreasonable (in my judgement) that such a story would be published unless a super-injunction is in place.
