Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.3%Führend unter 3 Optionen
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23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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7d-Änderung
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 26, 03:56 UTC31. Dez. 26, 19:34 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
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PolymarketRegeln
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
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