Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBe a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.2%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-13.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 26, 03:56 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
- Add Suggestions for answers below.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 mit 2% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? entschieden?
- If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.