Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 78%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 00:52 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PolymarketUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWill Susie Wiles serve for Trump’s entire term?
Manifold MarketsWill the current IDF spokesperson, Daniel Hagari, be nominated for the position of Chief of Staff of the IDF?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump have 3 or more Chiefs of Staff at the White House during his term?
Manifold MarketsWill the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool?
KalshiRegeln
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.