Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet18. Sept. 23, 21:23 UTC2. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAn American quickly has at least 30 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2028
Manifold MarketsRyan Garcia vs Conor Benn
Kalshi331: Van vs Pantoja
KalshiNoche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
PolymarketRegeln
Any human will be killed by an alien creature.
- On earth is included.
- They can be killed personally or via destruction of their ship.
- But it must be violent or physical.
- It can't be by for example, redirecting their food resupply ship so the human starves.
- It has to be violent or physical and initiated by the alien.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038 entschieden?
- Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038 soll am 2. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Alien creature kills human anytime through 2038 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any human will be killed by an alien creature.