[Metaculus] Before 2032, will we see 1k deaths or $200B in economic damage caused by AI malfunction?
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Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21553/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2032, there are three credible media reports indicating that there has been one or more events precipitated by AI malfunction which caused either 1000+ deaths or $200bn 2021 USD in economic damage.
- Multiple incidents stemming from the same source can count for the question to resolve as Yes.
- To be considered from the same source the incidents must be attributable to a specific flaw or version of an AI.
