Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82.9%
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet8. Jan. 23, 18:43 UTC8. Jan. 33, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves to YES if, according to a credible variety of international news media, any foreign military intervenes in Namibia in the next ten years.
- "Intervention" could be declaration of war, invasion, bombing, etc. I am asking this question because oil was recently discovered in Namibia; a cynic might feel that the discovery of oil makes military action more likely (whether its stated purpose is related to oil or not).
- Resolution of the market does not care what is the purpose of the intervention, only whether an intervention occurs or not.
