Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.5%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet28. Okt. 25, 08:38 UTC30. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine announce a publicly agreed, mutually binding ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution criteria: Official announcements from both governments or wide consensus of credible media reporting (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) confirming an official ceasefire agreement.
- Humanitarian pauses or unilateral ceasefires do not count.