KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Rebeca Grynspan 33.3%Führend unter 11 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
39.634,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
23. Juli 25, 14:00 UTC5. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurWill the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
KalshiRegeln
If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The UN
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Rebeca Grynspan 40%
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
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+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 355.385,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 292.267,8 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
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+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the next UN Secretary-General??
- Kalshi bewertet Rebeca Grynspan mit 33% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? entschieden?
- Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? soll am 5. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.