KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRafael Grossi 56.4%-1.0ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
376,4 €
Liquidität
31.564 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
18.0% / 24.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
23. Juli 25, 14:005. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Rebeca Grynspan22%
Plattformen vergleichen· Rafael Grossi
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 49% | 0pt | 1804,7 € | 61.991,7 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 57% | +8pt | 376,4 € | 31.564 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
| Polymarket65% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 39% | -10pt | 1,4 € | 4315,9 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
10.1 pts5Mon
-0.5pt46.7%
+10.1pt33.3%
-4.5pt11.4%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
72 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen132.081,7 €
24h-Volumen1804,7 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
0.1 ptsGeschlossen
+2.5pt39%
+15.8pt35%
-1.1pt32%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen70.171,3 €
24h-Volumen1,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$4293. Juli27T Daten29. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
203.390,1 €December 31: 89%POLYMARKET
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Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
2282,2 €Ja: 7.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?
1755,9 €Ja: 2.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
1627,7 €Minneapolis: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.