PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Rafael Grossi 50%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
55,8 €
Liquidität
10.582,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
14.0% / 17.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
21. Apr. 26, 18:2131. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Rafael Grossi50%
Plattformen vergleichen· Rafael Grossi
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 50% | -8pt | 55,8 € | 10.582,3 € | vor 4 Minuten | |
 KalshiAktivste85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 58% | 0pt | 454,1 € | 31.228,4 € | vor 24 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Polymarket65% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 39% | -19pt | 0 € | 4192,9 € | vor 24 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
2.0 pts5Mon
-1.0pt58.6%
19.2%
8.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen59.696,2 €
24h-Volumen454,1 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Geschlossen
-3.5pt33.6%
+0.6pt28.4%
-6.5pt20.7%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen70.234,6 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$632. Juli26T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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US-Iran nuclear deal?
17.634,4 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
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Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
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U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.