PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Rebeca Grynspan 39.8%Führend unter 8 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
73.454,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
+0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
21. Apr. 26, 18:21 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiRegeln
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Rebeca Grynspan 33%
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 355.385,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 292.267,8 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Polymarket bewertet Rebeca Grynspan mit 40% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Secretary-General of the United Nations entschieden?
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Secretary-General of the United Nations abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- Wo wird Next Secretary-General of the United Nations außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.