KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Aug 1, 2027 71%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
741,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
16. Juni 26, 01:06 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUK social media ban in effect by which date?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
FutuurRegeln
If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 494.578,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 809.348,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 123.374,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the UK's social media ban take effect??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Aug 1, 2027 mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the UK's social media ban take effect? entschieden?
- When will the UK's social media ban take effect? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the UK's social media ban take effect? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.