PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2027 40%-5.5pt
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7,8 €
Liquidität
8125,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
17. Juni 26, 03:09 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban?
KalshiWhen will the EU enact a social media ban for children?
KalshiWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill someone fail to hydrate/eat, dying as a result, because they could not perceive reality, their hunger, or their thirst, while using a social media network in the next 10 years?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
On June 15, 2026, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the UK government’s intention to ban children under the age of 16 from accessing social media services.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ban on the use of social media by children under the age of 16 within the United Kingdom takes effect by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A ban will qualify when legislation or a mandate from Ofcom or another UK government regulator is effectively imposed on any group of social media platforms, requiring them to prevent children under the age of 16 from accessing their services, with regulatory penalties to be applied for noncompliance.
- A qualifying ban must be in effect against a group of social media platforms, defined as consumer-facing online services whose primary function is to view, share, create, and interact with user-generated content.
- An age restriction applying to online streaming (Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, etc.) or pornographic (PornHub, OnlyFans, etc.) services will not qualify.