KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Mizuho 88%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9828,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
3. Juni 26, 21:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
KalshiWhat will Anthropic's public ticker be?
PolymarketAt the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic's public S-1 come out?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements.
- Joint book-running managers qualify.
- Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify.
- If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies.
- For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered.
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.513,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105.114,9 €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which banks will take Anthropic public??
- Kalshi bewertet Mizuho mit 88% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which banks will take Anthropic public? entschieden?
- Which banks will take Anthropic public? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which banks will take Anthropic public? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.