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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

RegulierungOne-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahlBusiness & Corporate6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 44%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

1,9 €

Liquidität

13 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

45.0% / 50.0%

Spread

11.1%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

16. Mai 26, 21:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes44%

Regeln

If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
  • Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,804.74+2.15%EthereumETH$1,655.68+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.36%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+0.29%BNBBNB$595.92+1.65%

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Regeln

If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
  • Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.