KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Wartet auf verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm wartet auf eine vom Anbieter bestätigte Auflösung, bevor dieser Markt als aufgelöst behandelt wird.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2028 15%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
17.723 €
Mittlere LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
22. Juli 26, 15:26 UTC1. Sept. 26, 13:27 UTC
Trends
15%
12%
2%
1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 74.278,5 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.799,5 €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.174 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.529,1 €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2028 mit 15% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? entschieden?
- Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? soll am 1. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.