Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
0.7 Pkt. (24h)FedOne-OffPolitikUS Politics3Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1169,7 €
Liquidität
20.646,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.3% / 12.0%
Spread
5.7 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
12. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
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PolymarketKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:CNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCC-SPANofficial transcripts from Congressional hearingsthe White HouseJerome Powellthe Office of Management and Budgetthe Department of Justicethe Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBS
- A "try to fire" includes **any** of the following:
- - The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; - Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; - Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; - The White House officially announces termination; - Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; - Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do **NOT** qualify:
- - Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; - Expressions of dissatisfaction; - Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; - Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; - Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; - Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? entschieden?
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.