KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore 2027 10%+0.1%
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
149,8 €
Liquidität
115.744,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.9% / 9.5%
Spread
61.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
12. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before 202710%
Volumentrend
$1702. Juli19T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
6751,6 €Before Jul 1, 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
0 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
0 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will any Fed governor leave office in 2026?
0 €Ja: 93%FUTUUR
FUTUURWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
0 €Ja: 13%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
0 €Cheryl Venable: 5.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.