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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

0.1% (24h)FedOne-OffPolitik6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh 88%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

6083,8 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.6% / 13.8%

Spread

762.5%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+0.7%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

20. Jan. 26, 13:3131. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett
0%
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett
0%
Rick Rieder
Rick Rieder
0%
Rick Rieder
Rick Rieder
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Kevin Warsh88%

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
  • Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,664.74+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.73+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.67%

Verwandte Märkte

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

17,9 €
Before Dec 1, 2026: 31%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

0 €
Before 2027: 13%KalshiKALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

166.308,9 €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88.249,2 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72.355 €
Ja: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.78%BNBBNB$595.52+1.68%XRPXRP$1.12+0.33%CardanoADA$0.166+3.29%HyperliquidHYPE$55.10-0.30%AvalancheAVAX$6.59+1.37%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
  • Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.