Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kevin Warsh 93%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
4968,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.9% / 7.8%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.6%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
20. Jan. 26, 13:2931. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Kevin Warsh93%
Volumentrend
$65. Juli8T Daten17. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
4605,5 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 25%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
149,8 €Before 2027: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,8 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
0 €Ja: 71%FUTUUR
FUTUURWill any Fed governor leave office in 2026?
0 €Ja: 93%FUTUUR
FUTUURIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
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Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
- This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
- Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.