Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 00:47 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiPredicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
PolymarketDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
KalshiRegeln
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.490,3 €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 44,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026? entschieden?
- Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.