PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 21%-2.5%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
37,8 €
Liquidität
12.538,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.2% / 5.9%
Spread
168.2%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.7%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
16. Apr. 26, 17:0331. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3121%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
6Mon
13%
1%
1%
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3278,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
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0,1 €More than 100,000: 42%KALSHI
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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?
2919,3 €Rate / Cut: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
165.267,1 €0 (0: 79%POLYMARKET
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Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
88.249,2 €Ja: 1%POLYMARKET
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.