Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 25%-3.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4605,5 €
Liquidität
204.812 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
22.0% / 25.0%
Spread
13.6%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
11. Feb. 26, 1:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jan 1, 202725%
Große Trades
$6.8k95.0%
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Novor 5 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Novor 5 TagenVolumentrend
$5.2k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,8 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
91,4 €Judy Shelton: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
0 €Kevin Warsh: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lisa Cook departure announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will DC come under federal control in 2026?
0 €Ja: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will any Fed governor leave office in 2026?
0 €Ja: 93%FUTUUR
FUTUURIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
- An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
- Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
- Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.