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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

5.0% (24h)FedOne-OffPolitik5Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026 31%-5.0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

17,9 €

Liquidität

1985,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

32.0% / 38.0%

Spread

18.8%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

30. Apr. 26, 21:001. Dez. 26, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Dec 1, 202631%

Regeln

If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
  • An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
  • Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
  • Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,746.89+1.96%EthereumETH$1,654.33+1.28%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.18%

Verwandte Märkte

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

0 €
Kevin Warsh: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

0 €
Before 2027: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

0 €
Kevin Hassett: 13%KalshiKALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

160.891,1 €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88.264,7 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
  • An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
  • Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
  • Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.