Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.6%
Prognostiker
50
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet12. Jan. 26, 02:12 UTC12. Jan. 27, 02:11 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWill the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- Federal prosecutors have opened a criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, but this market resolves YES only if Powell is formally indicted.
- An indictment requires a grand jury to return a formal written accusation charging Powell with a crime.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming a formal indictment has been filed.
- The market resolves NO if no indictment is filed by December 31, 2026.
- The Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas threatening a criminal indictment related to Powell's testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.525,8 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 997.035,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 41.181,8 €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted? entschieden?
- WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted? soll am 12. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria