Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94.1%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
218,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
10. Juli 26, 22:2431. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes6%
Volumentrend
$911. Juli9T Daten22. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4183,6 €SpaceX: 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?
94 €Less than 40%: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
87,9 €0 (0 bps): 85.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
21,1 €2.50% or less: 5.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US semiconductor production growth in 2026?
0 €Above 8%: 97%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
0 €Up: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
- Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company.
- A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
- Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.